Bordeaux futures, 2006 en Primeurs Wines

Classification of the best 2006 Bordeaux wines at the best price, 2006 Bordeaux Price / Quality wine deals

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Bordeaux futures, En Primeurs Wines

Classification of the best 2006 Bordeaux wines at the best price

The TOP Price / Quality wine deals

> Statistically valued, the best 2006 Price to Quality Bordeaux by region

This heading is for the aficionado seeking, at the same time, the best quality for the lowest possible price possible, or the best of two Worlds! 

We have come up with a specific formula of calculation (a linear regression) which determines with a mathematical precision by region what are the best Bordeaux Futures Price to Quality deals! 

On the table below, the most interesting wines correspond to the highest negative value of the Fair Price v.s. their market price, i.e. if Wine A has a -35% price differential to the market, it has a better price to quality ratio than Wine B with a -10% value. In other words, it means that the Wine A is currently undervalued by 35% to the market price.

Only the wines whose average ratings are equal or higher to 85/100, and a standard deviation equal or below 6 meaning there was relative a consensus between the critics, are taken into consideration. 

The prices used for our calculations are provided by VinorumCodex, the largest French database for wine pricing.

Once again, Winemega has nothing to sell, therefore the prices indicate, at the most, a general tendency of the En Primeur Bordeaux prices in France and should, in no way, be considered or construed as an offer or reference of retail prices in any specific country. These prices do not take in consideration any local taxes or other rules and regulations governing the wine business that may exist in certain countries.

Haut Médoc Pauillac Saint-Estèphe Castillon
Médoc Margaux Pessac Saint-Emilion
Listrac-Médoc Saint-Julien Sauternes Pomerol

> TOP Price / Quality

> 2006 Bordeaux analysis

> Related headings

Region

Wine

Average score / 100 Difference between Fair price and Market price

Côtes de Castillon

DOMAINE DE L'A

90.6 -38%
 

CLOS PUY ARNAUD

89.0 -24%
 

JOANIN-BECOT

88.2 -6%

VEYRY

88.1 -3%

TOP

Haut Medoc

 

CISSAC

89.6 -53%
ARCHE (D') 88.4 -36%
BEAUMONT 87.0 -25%
LAROSE TRINTAUDON 88.0 -18%
LAMARQUE 87.5 -16%
CITRAN 88.0 -16%
AGASSAC 88.2 -12%
MALESCASSE 87.4 -10%
CHARMAIL 88.2 -8%

CAMBON LA PELOUSE

87.6 -5%

LANESSAN

87.6 -4%

TOP

Listrac - Medoc

  MAYNE LALANDE 89.6 -60%
BELGRAVE 89.4 -16%

TOP

Margaux

BOYD CANTENAC 90.2 -37%
  MONBRISON 89.1 -34%
DAUZAC 89.8 -31%
  GURGUE 87.2 -27%
TERTRE (DU) 89.4 -24%
  PRIEURE-LICHINE 90.0 -23%
KIRWAN 90.0 -19%
  ISSAN 90.1 -18%
GISCOURS 90.3 -17%
  MARQUIS DE TERME 89.5 -16%
LABEGORCE ZEDE 88.3 -13%
  BRANE CANTENAC 89.9 -11%
  RAUSAN SEGLA 91.3 -11%
  FERRIERE 88.6 -10%
  LABEGORCE 87.6 -7%
  MARQUIS D'ALSEME BECKER 88.0 -3%
  MALESCOT SAINT-EXUPERY 89.8 -2%

TOP

Medoc

 

ROLLAN DE BY

89.5 -43%
 

BELLEVUE

89.4 -37%
 

TOUR DE BY

87.8 -22%

TOP

Pauillac

 

GRAND PUY LACOSTE

92.1 -43%
LYNCH-BAGES 92.4 -39%
PONTET CANET 92.4 -35%

HAUT-BATAILLEY

89.8 -32%
 

HAUT-BAGES AVEROUS

89.0 -31%

BATAILLEY

90.0 -29%
 

DUHART-MILON

90.3 -28%
 

CLERC-MILON

90.1 -21%
 

HAUT BAGES LIBERAL

89.2 -20%
 

PICHON LONGUEVILLE BARON

92.8 -17%
 

ARMAILHAC (D')

89.2 -12%

TOP

Pessac - Léognan - Graves (Red)

CLOS FLORIDENE

90.5 -76%
CHANTEGRIVE 89.0 -55%
DOMAINE DE CHEVALIER 91.6 -41%
BROWN 88.8 -31%
HAUT BAILLY 92.2 -26%
TOUR MARTILLAC 89.1 -24%
CARBONNIEUX 89.3 -20%
RAHOUL 89.1 -17%

FIEUZAL (DE)

88.9 -12%
 

BOUSCAUT

88.0 -11%
 

SMITH HAUT-LAFITTE

91.3 -9%
 

LARRIVET HAUT BRION

89.1 -5%
 

HAUT BERGEY

88.5 -1%

TOP

Pomerol

  CROIX  (LA) 90.0 -53%
  CABANNE (LA) 89.9 -47%
  FLEUR PETRUS 92.7 -45%
  ENCLOS (L') 89.3 -44%
  PETITE EGLISE 88.8 -41%
  TROTANOY 94.2 -40%
  PLINCE 88.7 -37%
  GAZIN 91.2 -32%
  LAGRANGE 89.3 -31%
  VIEUX CHATEAU CERTAN 94.6 -31%
 

POINTE (LA)

89.5 -29%
 

CLOS RENE

88.4 -27%
 

BEAUREGARD

89.3 -26%
 

FEYTIT-CLINET

90.3 -24%
 

CROIX DE GAY

88.5 -20%

BONALGUE

89.3 -20%
 

ROUGET

89.1 -19%

CLINET

91.2 -17%
 

CONSEILLANTE

93.0 -15%

HOSANNA

92.4 -15%
 

NENIN

90.4 -10%

LATOUR A POMEROL

89.9 -7%
 

CERTAN DE MAY

92.1 -3%

TOP

Saint Emilion

  LAROZE 90.5 -60%
  MATRAS 88.9 -58%
  ARROSEE (L') 92.0 -54%
  DOME (LE) 92.2 -52%
  SERRE (LA) 88.9 -50%
  CLOS DES JACOBINS 90.6 -48%
  PAVIE MACQUIN 92.6 -47%
  CLOS DE L'ORATOIRE 90.9 -47%
  SIMARD 88.6 -46%
  MOULIN-SAINT-GEORGES 90.9 -43%
  CADET-PIOLA 89.9 -41%
  TERTRE DAUGAY 89.6 -38%
  DOMINIQUE (LA) 90.5 -37%
  GRAND CORBIN DESPAGNE 88.8 -37%
  LARCIS DUCASSE 91.3 -36%
  BEAUSEJOUR DUFFAU-LAGAROSSE 91.5 -34%
  PRIEURE (LE) 86.9 -31%
  CANON 92.2 -30%
  FONROQUE 89.0 -30%
  COUTET 89.4 -29%
  PIN-BEAUSOLEIL (LE) 88.3 -28%
  ROL VALENTIN 90.2 -27%
  COTE DE BALEAU 87.6 -27%
  BEAUSEJOUR BECOT 91.3 -26%
  CAP DE MOURLIN 88.8 -24%
  LUCIA 90.3 -24%
  FONPLEGADE 89.9 -22%
  GRAND PONTET 89.1 -22%
  BELAIR 89.8 -21%
  CLOS FOURTET 91.1 -21%
  CLOS D'AbbA 90.3 -21%
  SAINT GEORGES-COTE PAVIE 88.1 -20%
  TOUR FIGEAC 89.1 -20%
DASSAULT 89.0 -17%
  MONBOUSQUET 90.1 -17%
DESTIEUX 89.1 -16%
  CLOS BADON 89.6 -15%
BELLEVUE 90.2 -13%
  BERLIQUET 89.0 -13%
FRANC MAYNE 88.9 -12%
  TRIANON 87.4 -11%
FAUGERES 88.8 -9%
  GRAND MAYNE 89.0 -9%
BELLEFONT-BELCIER 88.6 -7%
  COUVENT DES JACOBINS 88.8 -5%
LYNSOLENCE 90.3 -5%
  BALESTARD LA TONNELLE 88.6 -5%
GRANDES MURAILLES 89.4 -2%
  FIGEAC 91.9 -1%
  FOMBRAUGE 88.3 -1%
  JEAN FAURE 88.6 -1%

TOP

Saint Estephe

  TOUR DE PEZ 89.3 -46%
  TRONQUOY LALANDE 87.7 -26%
  CALON SEGUR 92.2 -26%
  MARBUZET 89.9 -8%
  ORMES DE PEZ 89.2 -5%
  COS D'ESTOURNEL 94.0 -4%
  BOSCQ (LE) 88.6 -3%
  MEYNEY 88.9 -2%

TOP

Saint Julien

  LEOVILLE BARTON 92.9 -37%
  LAGRANGE 90.6 -21%
  GRUAUD LAROSE 91.0 -20%
  GLANA (DU) 87.4 -18%
  LEOVILLE POYFERRE 91.8 -14%
  LEOVILLE LAS CASES 95.1 -3%

TOP

Sauternes

  RIEUSSEC 92.7 -38%
  LAFAURIE PEYRAGUEY 91.0 -36%
  DOISY VEDRINES 90.4 -34%
  COUTET 91.3 -31%
  CLIMENS 93.7 -29%
  GUIRAUD 91.1 -26%
  RABAUD PROMIS 90.0 -24%
  RAYNE VIGNEAU 90.0 -22%
  MALLE (DE) 90.0 -21%
  RAYMOND LAFON 91.2 -21%
  TOUR BLANCHE 91.0 -13%
  DOISY DAENE 89.8 -12%
  CAILLOU 88.6 -7%
  CLOS HAUT PEYRAGUEY 90.2 -6%
  ARCHE (D') 89.1 -5%
  SUDUIRAUT 91.5 -5%
  MYRAT 88.9 -3%
  SIGALAS RABAUD 89.5 -1%
 

> Bordeaux 2006 analysis 

 

1. Vintage effect

The table below provides the answer to the following question:
"How much more expensive (in %) are wines in a given year, relative to the cheapest year on record (2003), after taking into accounts the ratings and the growth premia?"

1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
22.7 0.2 28.9 72.4 102.3 42.1 0 45.5 67.1 43.3
This table means that in 2006, the regression calculation indicates that for growths with the same grade and from the same region, the prices are 43.3% higher in 2006 than in 2003. However, the accuracy of this effect is relatively limited and thus not extremely significant. We mention it here as a purely informative trend. Interesting to point that the same analysis conducted on the "Top wines" alone gives 1997 as the least expensive year.
 
2. Rating effect

The analysis allows answering to the following question:
"How much, on average, does a rating increase of one point (say, from 89 to 90) raises the price (in %)?"

1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
10 12 9 15 12 12 11 16 23 15
In 2006, every one point increase on the rating impacts the price by 15%. For the "Top wines" the effect is more than double (32%)! The market clearly discriminates the "Top wines" segment.
 
3. Growth (or Wine Growing Region) effect

The table below provides the answer to the following question:
"How much more expensive (in %) are wines from a given region in a given year, relative to the cheapest region in that year, after taking into accounts the ratings?"

  Misc. Right Bank Pessac Margaux Medoc

Haut-Medoc

Pauillac St-Estephe St-Julien Pomerol St-Emilion Sauternes and Barsac
1997 21.8 75.8 77.4 0 83.5 50.5 92.5 97.5 82.3 44.1
1998 23.1 54.4 63.8 0 82.8 38.6 76.9 51.2 72.5 48.0
1999 39.4 62.6 59.3 0 91.6 72.3 84.6 104.1 79.7 64.1
2000 25.6 43.9 47.6 0 48.4 25.4 56.7 79.1 62.5 35.9
2001 3.5 43.2 46.2 0 48.2 19.9 45.5 62.5 44.9 0.4
2002 18.0 44.9 41.3 0 41.0 14.6 37.5 77.3 53.3 13.8
2003 23.1 63.0 57.9 0 39.7 22.4 54.1 94.0 69.4 50.3
2004 17.5 40.5 37.3 0 34.8 29.5 39.1 52.9 40.2 49.0
2005 8.6 25.6 39.1 0.9 51.5 10.4 34.8 58.3 58.6 0
2006 8.4 23.6 42.3 0 41.5 12.2 25.9 48.4 41.6 23.2
Average 18.9 47.7 51.2 0.1 56.3 29.6 54.8 72.5 60.5 32.9
The price difference within the regions is somewhat limited in 2006. Is this effect due to a greater homogeneity of the quality within the areas? It should be noted that price differences tend to increase for regions with very famous growths. It is probably less due to the area's effect than to the public image of these very famous growths.
 

Charles Wyplosz and Alain Bringolf for Winemega.com

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